Club Friendlies 3
Jan 30, 2026 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United vs Lexington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Lexington

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 4.00pm
Orlando City 1 - 2 Lexington

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Lexington had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Lexington win was 1-2 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%).

Result

Atlanta United 50.73%
Draw 23.78%
Lexington 25.49% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.66%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.88% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.12% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 56.81% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 43.19% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 35.15% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 64.85% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 21.1% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.9% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 38.26% (-0.03)
Draw 38.31% (-0.01)
Lexington 23.44% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 57.04% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.69% (+0.02)
Lexington 37.27%

Corners

Over 8 63.32% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.15%
Under 8 25.53% (-0.03)
Over 9 51.42% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 36.68% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 39.84% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 60.16% (-0.04)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 51.05% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 48.95% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 25.48% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 74.52% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.62% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.38% (+0.01)

Lexington Goals

Over 0.5 62.07% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 37.93% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 30.16% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.84% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.88%
Under 2.5 89.12%
Over 3.5 3.37%
Under 3.5 96.63%

Score analysis

Atlanta United 50.74%
Draw 23.79%
Lexington 25.5%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 9.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.71% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 3.44%
Other @ 10.61% (-0.01)
Total : 50.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.69% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.79%
Lexington
1-2 @ 6.3% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.08% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.54% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 25.5%