Club Friendlies 3
Jan 30, 2026 4.00pm
Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United vs Lexington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Lexington

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw has a probability of 22.82% and a win for Lexington has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.4%) , while for a Lexington win it is 1-2 (5.83%).

Result

Atlanta United 54.78%
Draw 22.82%
Lexington 22.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.3%
Under 1.5 20.7%
Over 2.5 57.6%
Under 2.5 42.4%
Over 3.5 35.74%
Under 3.5 64.26%
Over 4.5 21.96%
Under 4.5 78.04%

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 40.95%
Draw 38.6%
Lexington 20.44%

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 59.91%
No Goal 5.29%
Lexington 34.8%

Corners

Over 8 67.61%
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 21.66%
Over 9 55.7%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 32.39%
Over 10.5 43.7%
Under 10.5 56.3%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 54.4%
Under 1.5 45.6%
Over 2.5 28.42%
Under 2.5 71.58%
Over 3.5 12.11%
Under 3.5 87.89%

Lexington Goals

Over 0.5 59.48%
Under 0.5 40.52%
Over 1.5 27.45%
Under 1.5 72.55%
Over 2.5 9.38%
Under 2.5 90.62%
Over 3.5 2.71%
Under 3.5 97.29%

Score analysis

Atlanta United 54.78%
Draw 22.82%
Lexington 22.39%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 6.05%
3-0 @ 5.21%
3-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 12.01%
Total : 54.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 5.61%
0-0 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 22.82%
Lexington
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-1 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 22.39%