Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Lexington had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Lexington win was 1-2 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%).