Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.75% and a win for Hartford Athletic had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%) , while for a Hartford Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.17%).