Club Friendlies 3
Feb 14, 2026 6.00pm
Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United vs Dallas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 5.00pm
Atlanta 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls

Dallas

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 5.00pm
Dallas 0 - 1 Houston

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Dallas has a probability of 29.54% and a draw has a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Dallas win is 1-2 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.5%).

Result

Atlanta United 47.71% (-0.01)
Draw 22.74%
Dallas 29.54% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.48% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.64% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 16.36% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 65.05%
Under 2.5 34.95%
Over 3.5 43.05% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 56.95% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 27.35% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 72.65% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 37.47% (+0.01)
Draw 35.11% (-0.01)
Dallas 27.42%

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 49.38% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.3% (-0.01)
Dallas 46.32% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.15% (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 26.92% (-0.04)
Over 9 50.61% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.54% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.85% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 39.45% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 60.55% (-0.04)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 52.81% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.19% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 28.25% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 71.75% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.66% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.34% (+0.02)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5 66.52% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 33.48% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 37.66% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.34% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.85% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.15% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.7% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.3% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 47.7%
Draw 22.74%
Dallas 29.54%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.81%
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 4% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.4% (-0.01)
Total : 47.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.74%
Dallas
1-2 @ 7.43% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.44% (-0.02)
Total : 29.54%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Miguel Almiron 17' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 17' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 84' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 84' yellowcard
  • goal Petar Musa 60'
  • goal Petar Musa 60'
Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Paul Arriola 4' goal
  • Paul Arriola 4' goal
  • Alan Velasco 53' yellowcard
  • Alan Velasco 53' yellowcard
  • Bernard Kamungo 62' goal
  • Bernard Kamungo 62' goal
  • Sebastien Ibeagha 69' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Ibeagha 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Sosa 7'
  • yellowcard Santiago Sosa 7'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 21'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Giakoumakis 21'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 44'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 44'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 58'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 58'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2020 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Jeff Larentowicz 54' goal
  • yellowcard Bressan 49'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 9
Apr 20, 2019 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 40' yellowcard
  • Jeff Larentowicz 61' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 97' goal
  • goal Jesus Ferreira 6'
  • yellowcard Matt Hedges 59'
  • yellowcard Michael Barrios 63'
  • yellowcard Jesse Gonzalez 74'
  • goal Bryan Acosta 84'
  • yellowcard Jacori Hayes 96'
  • yellowcard Bryan Acosta 97'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Jul 5, 2018 1.00am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
  • Roland Lamah 14' yellowcard
  • Reto Ziegler 22' goal
  • Tesho Akindele 86' goal
  • Tesho Akindele 88' goal
  • goal Josef Martinez 41'
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 45'
  • goal Josef Martinez 73'
Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2017 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 14' goal
  • Josef Martinez 46' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 50' yellowcard
  • Gregory Garza 68' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 2'