Club Friendlies 3
Feb 11, 2026 12.00am
Exploria Stadium

Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 12.00am
Orlando City 2 - 2 Nashville

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 5.00pm
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Detroit City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Orlando City win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 33.7% and a draw has a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.62%).

Result

Orlando City 41.87% (-0.03)
Draw 24.43%
FC Cincinnati 33.7% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.22% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 17.78% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 61.83% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 38.17% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 39.87% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 60.13% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 24.08% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 75.92% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Orlando City 36.2% (+0.02)
Draw 36.61%
FC Cincinnati 27.2%

Team To Score First

Orlando City 54.27% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.58% (+0.01)
FC Cincinnati 41.15% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.09%
Equal 8 11.65%
Under 8 30.26%
Over 9 46.18%
Equal 9 11.91%
Under 9 41.91%
Over 10.5 35.04%
Under 10.5 64.96%

Orlando City Goals

Over 1.5 47.25% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 52.75% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 23.09% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 76.91% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.27% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.73% (+0.04)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 70.47%
Under 0.5 29.53%
Over 1.5 40.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.31% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.51% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.49% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.13% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.87% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Orlando City 41.86%
Draw 24.43%
FC Cincinnati 33.7%
Orlando City
2-1 @ 8.23% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.18% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.23%
Other @ 8.94% (-0.04)
Total : 41.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 7% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.43%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 8.22% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.01% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 5.8% (-0.01)
Total : 33.7%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 29, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Kevin Kelsy 35' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kelsy 35' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 45' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 45' goal
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 10'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 10'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 17'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 17'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 66'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 66'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 72'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 72'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 23' redcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 23' redcard
  • Cesar Araujo 30' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 30' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 62' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 62' yellowcard
  • Ian Murphy 64' yellowcard
  • Ian Murphy 64' yellowcard
  • Michael Halliday 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Michael Halliday 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Acosta 1'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 1'
  • yellowcard Bret Halsey 55'
  • yellowcard Bret Halsey 55'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 56'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 56'
  • yellowcard Michael Halliday 66'
  • yellowcard Michael Halliday 66'
  • redcard Bret Halsey 78'
  • redcard Bret Halsey 78'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Valenzuela 90'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Valenzuela 90'
Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 3 2
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Karim Tmimi 15'+15' goal
  • Karim Tmimi 15'+15' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 44' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 44' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 30'+30' goal
  • Aaron Boupendza 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Firmino 81'+81' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Santos 13'
  • yellowcard Rafael Santos 13'
  • yellowcard Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 41'
  • yellowcard Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 41'
  • goal Facundo Torres 44'
  • goal Facundo Torres 44'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 55'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 55'
  • redcard Wilder Cartagena 90'+5'
  • redcard Wilder Cartagena 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Junior Urso 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 90'+11'
  • goal Benjamin Stitz 57'+57'
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Orlando City Stadium