Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.