Club Friendlies 3
Feb 11, 2026 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Exploria Stadium
  • goal Evander 21'
  • goal Barlow 77'

Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 12.00am
Orlando City 2 - 2 Nashville

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 5.00pm
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Detroit City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Orlando City 41.87% (-0.03)
Draw 24.43%
FC Cincinnati 33.7% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.22% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 17.78% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 61.83% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 38.17% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 39.87% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 60.13% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 24.08% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 75.92% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Orlando City 36.2% (+0.02)
Draw 36.61%
FC Cincinnati 27.2%

Team To Score First

Orlando City 54.27% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.58% (+0.01)
FC Cincinnati 41.15% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.09%
Equal 8 11.65%
Under 8 30.26%
Over 9 46.18%
Equal 9 11.91%
Under 9 41.91%
Over 10.5 35.04%
Under 10.5 64.96%

Orlando City Goals

Over 1.5 47.25% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 52.75% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 23.09% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 76.91% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.27% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.73% (+0.04)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 70.47%
Under 0.5 29.53%
Over 1.5 40.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.31% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.51% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.49% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.13% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.87% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Orlando City 41.86%
Draw 24.43%
FC Cincinnati 33.7%
Orlando City
2-1 @ 8.23% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.18% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.23%
Other @ 8.94% (-0.04)
Total : 41.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 7% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.43%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 8.22% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.01% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 5.8% (-0.01)
Total : 33.7%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 29, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Kevin Kelsy 35' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kelsy 35' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 45' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 45' goal
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 10'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 10'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 17'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 17'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 66'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 66'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 72'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 72'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 23' redcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 23' redcard
  • Cesar Araujo 30' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 30' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 62' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 62' yellowcard
  • Ian Murphy 64' yellowcard
  • Ian Murphy 64' yellowcard
  • Michael Halliday 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Michael Halliday 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Acosta 1'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 1'
  • yellowcard Bret Halsey 55'
  • yellowcard Bret Halsey 55'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 56'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 56'
  • yellowcard Michael Halliday 66'
  • yellowcard Michael Halliday 66'
  • redcard Bret Halsey 78'
  • redcard Bret Halsey 78'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Valenzuela 90'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Valenzuela 90'
Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 3 2
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Karim Tmimi 15'+15' goal
  • Karim Tmimi 15'+15' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 44' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 44' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 30'+30' goal
  • Aaron Boupendza 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Firmino 81'+81' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Santos 13'
  • yellowcard Rafael Santos 13'
  • yellowcard Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 41'
  • yellowcard Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 41'
  • goal Facundo Torres 44'
  • goal Facundo Torres 44'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 55'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 55'
  • redcard Wilder Cartagena 90'+5'
  • redcard Wilder Cartagena 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Junior Urso 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 90'+11'
  • goal Benjamin Stitz 57'+57'
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Orlando City Stadium