Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.