Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.39% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%) , while for a Puebla win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.