Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.