Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.63% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Puebla win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.