Jan 15, 2026 3.10am

3

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Nemesio Díez

Santiago Simon 46'
Everardo Lopez 46'
46'
Santiago Simón 46'
Everardo del Villar 46'
Haret Ortega 50'
Marcel Ruiz 53'
Helinho 60'
Pavel Perez 64'
Pável Pérez 64'
Sebastian Cordova 70'
Sebastián Córdova 70'
Jorge Roberto Díaz Price 82'
Jorge Díaz 82'

Fran Villalba 21'
Cristian Dajome 46'
Cristian Dájome 46'
Kevin Alexander Palacios Salazar 57'
Aldo Lopez 57'
Aldo López 57'
Kevin Palacios 57'
Tahiel Adrian Jimenez Sanchez 64'
Tahiel Jiménez 64'
Tahiel Adrian Jimenez Sanchez 66'
Salvador Mariscal 72'

Toluca vs Santos Laguna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

W
W
L
W
L
D

Liga MX

W
W
L
W
L
D

Last game

Jan 11, 2026 3.05am

Monterrey 0 - 1 Toluca

Goals scored

54

Top scorer

Paulinho

Santos Laguna

All competitions

L
W
L
W
D
W

Liga MX

L
W
L
W
D
W

Last game

Jan 11, 2026 1.00am

Santos Laguna 1 - 3 Necaxa

Goals scored

28

Top scorer

Lucas Di Yorio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 75.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.57% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 7.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.65%) , while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 75.51% ▼ (-0.09)

Draw 16.57% ▲ (+0.08)

Santos Laguna 7.92% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score:

43.56% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.77% ▼ (-0.14)

Under 1.5 22.23% ▲ (+0.13)

Over 2.5 58.17% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 2.5 41.83% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 3.5 38.55% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 3.5 61.45% ▲ (+0.13)

Over 4.5 28.99% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 4.5 71.01% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Toluca 63.85% ▲ (+0.01)

Draw 25.59% ▲ (+0.02)

Santos Laguna 10.56% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Toluca 72.26% ▼ (-0.13)

No Goal 6.65% ▲ (+0.06)

Santos Laguna 21.09% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 63.38% ▼ (-0.12)

Equal 8 9.36% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 8 27.26% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 9 53.39% ▼ (-0.18)

Equal 9 9.99% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 9 36.62% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 10.5 43.48% ▼ (-0.23)

Under 10.5 56.52% ▲ (+0.23)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 67.28% ▼ (-0.19)

Under 1.5 32.72% ▲ (+0.19)

Over 2.5 43.14% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 2.5 56.86% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 3.5 24.23% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 75.77% ▲ (+0.04)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5 34.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 65.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 1.5 11.57% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 88.43% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 97.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 0.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 99.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Toluca 75.5%

Draw 16.57%

Santos Laguna 7.93%

Toluca

1-0 @ 12.71% ▲ (+0.09)

2-0 @ 12.52% ▲ (+0.03)

3-0 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.09)

2-1 @ 7.97%

3-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.09)

3-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 24.06% ▼ (-0.04)

Total : 75.5%

Draw

0-0 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.06)

1-1 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.05)

2-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.17%

Total : 16.57%

Santos Laguna

0-1 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.04)

1-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 7.93%

Head to Head

Jul 17, 2025 4.05am

Jul 17, 2025 4.05am

2

4

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 7, 2025 1.00am

2

1

HT : 4 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Paulinho 39'
Paulinho 39'
Marcel Ruiz 45'+2'
Marcel Ruiz 45'+2'
Jesus Gallardo 55'
Paulinho 84'
Isaias Violante 90'+2'
Isaias Violante 90'+2'

Emmanuel Echeverria 11'
Emmanuel Echeverria 11'
Jordan Carrillo 55'
Jordan Carrillo 55'
Javier Guemez 66'
Javier Guemez 66'
Javier Guemez 89'
Javier Guemez 89'

Sep 23, 2024 2.05am

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santiago Nunez 35'
Santiago Nunez 35'
Fran Villalba 45'
Fran Villalba 45'
Emmanuel Echeverria 60'
Emmanuel Echeverria 60'
Anderson Santamaria 64'
Anderson Santamaria 64'
Aldo Lopez 90'+1'
Aldo Lopez 90'+1'
Carlos Acevedo 90'+1'

Brian Garcia 36'
Brian Garcia 36'
Marcel Ruiz 56'
Marcel Ruiz 56'

Feb 22, 2024 1.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Marcel Ruiz 32'
Marcel Ruiz 32'
Claudio Baeza 38'
Claudio Baeza 38'
Federico Pereira 61'
Federico Pereira 61'
Tiago Volpi 75'
Tiago Volpi 76'

Pedro Aquino 74'
Pedro Aquino 74'
Bruno Amione 90'+2'
Bruno Amione 90'+2'

Nov 6, 2023 12.05am

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Nuevo Corona

Felix Torres 35'
Felix Torres 35'
Diego Medina 60'
Diego Medina 60'
Juan Brunetta 63'
Juan Brunetta 63'
Juan Brunetta 72'
Juan Brunetta 72'
Carlos Acevedo 78'
Carlos Acevedo 78'
Omar Campos 90'
Omar Campos 90'

Jesus Pinuelas 34'
Jesus Pinuelas 34'
Tiago Volpi 64'
Tiago Volpi 64'
Maximiliano Araujo 80'
Maximiliano Araujo 80'
Tomas Belmonte 90'+3'
Tomas Belmonte 90'+3'

Form Data

Monterrey 0 - 1 Toluca

Toluca 2 - 1 Tigres

Tigres 1 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 3 - 2 Monterrey

Monterrey 1 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 0 - 0 Juarez

Santos Laguna 1 - 3 Necaxa

Santos Laguna 1 - 0 Pachuca

Necaxa 4 - 1 Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna 3 - 1 Queretaro

Mazatlan 2 - 2 Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna 2 - 0 Club Leon