Jan 18, 2026 1.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León

Marcelo Flores 57'
Marcelo Flores 58'
Carlos Uriel 83'
Uriel Antuna 83'
Juan Vigon 89'
Juan Vigón 89'

Helinho 59'
Sebastian Cordova 76'
Nicolas Castro 76'
Sebastián Córdova 76'
Nicolás Castro 76'

Tigres vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions

L
W
L
W
D
D

Liga MX

L
W
L
W
D
D

Last game

Jan 15, 2026 3.06am

Tigres 0 - 1 Pumas

Goals scored

54

Top scorer

Angel Correa

Toluca

All competitions

W
W
W
L
W
L

Liga MX

W
W
W
L
W
L

Last game

Jan 15, 2026 3.10am

Toluca 3 - 1 Santos Laguna

Goals scored

54

Top scorer

Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Tigres 45.47% ▼ (-0.25)

Draw 25.7% ▼ (-0.04)

Toluca 28.83% ▲ (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score:

54.42% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.3% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 1.5 24.7% ▼ (-0.13)

Over 2.5 51.28% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 2.5 48.72% ▼ (-0.25)

Over 3.5 28.58% ▲ (+0.26)

Under 3.5 71.42% ▼ (-0.27)

Over 4.5 15.93% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 4.5 84.07% ▼ (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Tigres 38.13% ▲ (+0.07)

Draw 38.8% ▼ (-0.05)

Toluca 23.07% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Tigres 52.86%

No Goal 7% ▼ (-0.05)

Toluca 40.14% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 57.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Equal 8 11.54% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 8 31.07% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 9 45.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Equal 9 11.73% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 9 42.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 10.5 34.74% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 10.5 65.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Tigres Goals

Over 1.5 43.87% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 1.5 56.13% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 2.5 19.4% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 80.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 6.95%

Under 3.5 93.05%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 64.36% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 0.5 35.64% ▼ (-0.25)

Over 1.5 30.97% ▲ (+0.33)

Under 1.5 69.03% ▼ (-0.33)

Over 2.5 11.01% ▲ (+0.23)

Under 2.5 88.99% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 3.5 3.23% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 3.5 96.77% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Tigres 45.46%

Draw 25.7%

Toluca 28.82%

Tigres

1-0 @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.11)

2-1 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.05)

2-0 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.08)

3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.06)

3-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 6.75%

Total : 45.46%

Draw

1-1 @ 12% ▼ (-0.03)

0-0 @ 7% ▼ (-0.05)

2-2 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.03)

3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 0.2%

Total : 25.7%

Toluca

0-1 @ 7.39%

1-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.05)

0-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.05)

2-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.05)

0-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.09)

Total : 28.82%

Head to Head

Dec 15, 2025 1.00am

2

1

HT : 1 1

ET

Federico Pereira 12'
Helinho 40'
Santiago Simon 45'+3'
Paulinho 52'
Paulinho 69'
Diego Barbosa 117'

Fernando Gorriaran 14'
Angel Correa 64'
Juan Brunetta 78'
Fernando Gorriaran 96'

Dec 12, 2025 2.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Jesus Angulo 17'
Jesus Angulo 18'
18'
Angel Correa 46'
Jesus Garza 63'
Jose Garcia 63'

Jesus Gallardo 23'
Jesus Gallardo 24'
Robert Morales 90'+2'
Federico Pereira 90'+2'

Jul 27, 2025 2.00am

3

4

HT : 0 0

FT

May 18, 2025 2.00am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Paulinho 14'
Paulinho 14'
Alexis Vega 18'
Alexis Vega 18'
Juan Dominguez 37'
Juan Dominguez 37'
Jesus Gallardo 61'
Jesus Gallardo 61'
Edgar Lopez 79'
Edgar Lopez 79'
Alexis Vega 82'
Alexis Vega 82'

Joaquim 16'
Joaquim 16'
Juan Sanchez 26'
Juan Sanchez 26'

May 15, 2025 4.00am

1

1

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Nicolas Ibanez 19'
Nicolas Ibanez 19'
Jesus Angulo 89'
Jesus Angulo 89'
Nahuel Guzman 90'+3'
Nahuel Guzman 90'+3'

Paulinho 45'+1'
Paulinho 45'+1'
Juan Dominguez 90'+3'
Juan Dominguez 90'+3'

Feb 2, 2025 3.15am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Federico Pereira 31'
Federico Pereira 31'
Alexis Vega 33'
Alexis Vega 33'
Franco Romero 37'
Franco Romero 37'
Paulinho 90'+1'
Paulinho 90'+1'

Guido Pizarro 22'
Guido Pizarro 22'
Javier Aquino 45'+4'
Javier Aquino 45'+4'
Diego Lainez 90'+9'
Jose Garcia 90'+9'
Diego Lainez 90'+9'
Jose Garcia 90'+9'

Form Data

Tigres 0 - 1 Pumas

Atletico San Luis 1 - 2 Tigres

Toluca 2 - 1 Tigres

Tigres 1 - 0 Toluca

Tigres 1 - 1 Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Tigres

Toluca 3 - 1 Santos Laguna

Monterrey 0 - 1 Toluca

Toluca 2 - 1 Tigres

Tigres 1 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 3 - 2 Monterrey

Monterrey 1 - 0 Toluca