Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.86% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%) , while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (4.89%).