Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.