Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.