Liga MX Gameweek 4
Jan 31, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas vs Mazatlan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 11.00pm
Necaxa 0 - 1 Atlas
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Alfonso Gonzalez

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00am
Mazatlan 1 - 5 Monterrey
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Facundo Almada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlas win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Mazatlan has a probability of 28.59% and a draw has a probability of 25.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlas win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Mazatlan win is 0-1 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.94%).

Result

Atlas 45.85% (+0.04)
Draw 25.53% (-0.01)
Mazatlan 28.59% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.54% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.46% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 49.19%
Under 2.5 50.81%
Over 3.5 27.62% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.34%
Over 4.5 15.05% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.95% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Atlas 31.03% (-0.04)
Draw 42.91% (+0.01)
Mazatlan 26.06% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Atlas 50.43% (-0.07)
No Goal 7.07%
Mazatlan 42.5% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 59.9% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.34% (-0.02)
Under 8 28.76% (-0.05)
Over 9 48.15% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.74% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.1% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 37.01% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 62.99% (-0.08)

Atlas Goals

Over 1.5 43.48% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 56.52% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 18.99% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 81.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.67%
Under 3.5 93.33%

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5 63.52% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.48% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.35% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 70.65% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 9.9% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 90.1% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.79% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.21% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Atlas 45.85%
Draw 25.53%
Mazatlan 28.59%
Atlas
1-0 @ 10.9% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.83% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.62% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.05% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 6.6% (+0.01)
Total : 45.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 5.5%
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 25.53%
Mazatlan
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.72% (-0.03)
Total : 28.59%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Sep 20, 2025 4.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 13
Mar 29, 2025 3.10am
3
2
HT : 4 4
FT Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)
  • Nicolas Benedetti 27' goal
  • Nicolas Benedetti 27' goal
  • Luis Amarilla 31' goal
  • Luis Amarilla 31' goal
  • Lucas Merolla 40' yellowcard
  • Lucas Merolla 40' yellowcard
  • Salvador Rodriguez 61' goal
  • Salvador Rodriguez 61' goal
  • Omar Fernando Moreno Villegas 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Omar Fernando Moreno Villegas 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Anderson Duarte 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Anderson Duarte 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Eduardo Aguirre 18'
  • goal Eduardo Aguirre 18'
  • yellowcard Victor Rios 26'
  • yellowcard Victor Rios 26'
  • goal Uros Durdevic 36'
  • goal Uros Durdevic 36'
  • yellowcard Jesus Eduardo Serrato Zambrano 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jesus Eduardo Serrato Zambrano 45'+1'
  • redcard Mateo Garcia 52'
  • redcard Mateo Garcia 52'
  • yellowcard Idekel Dominguez 58'
  • yellowcard Idekel Dominguez 58'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jalisco
  • Doria 19' yellowcard
  • Doria 19' yellowcard
  • Luis Reyes 88' yellowcard
  • Luis Reyes 88' yellowcard
  • goal 17'
  • yellowcard Roberto Meraz 21'
  • yellowcard Roberto Meraz 21'
  • yellowcard Hugo Gonzalez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Hugo Gonzalez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Edgar Joel Barcenas 69'
  • yellowcard Edgar Joel Barcenas 69'
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Feb 10, 2024 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)
  • Andres Montano 64' goal
  • Andres Montano 64' goal
  • Jair Diaz 75' yellowcard
  • Jair Diaz 75' yellowcard
  • Brian Rubio 88' goal
  • Brian Rubio 88' goal
  • Brian Rubio 90'+5' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Brian Rubio 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Nervo 46'
  • yellowcard Hugo Nervo 47'
  • redcard Anderson Santamaria 51'
  • redcard Anderson Santamaria 51'
  • yellowcard Jose Lozano 66'
Liga MX Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 2.00am
1
3
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio Jalisco
  • Juan Zapata 22' goal
  • Juan Zapata 22' goal
  • Aldo Rocha 54' yellowcard
  • Aldo Rocha 54' yellowcard
  • Hugo Nervo 66' yellowcard
  • Hugo Nervo 66' yellowcard
  • Aldo Rocha 90'+1' redcard
  • Aldo Rocha 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Ake Loba 12'
  • goal Ake Loba 12'
  • goal Ake Loba 32'
  • goal Ake Loba 32'
  • yellowcard Ventura Alvarado 64'
  • yellowcard Ventura Alvarado 64'
  • yellowcard Hugo Gonzalez 88'
  • yellowcard Hugo Gonzalez 88'
  • yellowcard Jair Diaz 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jair Diaz 90'+5'
  • goal Jose Maduena 90'+7'
  • goal Jose Maduena 90'+7'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jan 13, 2023 3.05am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jalisco
  • Julio Furch 61' goal
  • Julian Quinones 74' goal
  • goal Nicolas Benedetti 85'