Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%) , while for a Atlas win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.