Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.25% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%) , while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.