Liga MX Gameweek 4
Feb 1, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro vs Pachuca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 11.07pm
Guadalajara 2 - 1 Queretaro
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Mateo Coronel

Pachuca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2026 1.06am
Pachuca 0 - 0 America
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Oussama Idrissi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pachuca win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Queretaro has a probability of 30.35% and a draw has a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Queretaro win is 1-0 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.73%).

Result

Queretaro 30.35% (+0.48)
Draw 25.37% (-0.10)
Pachuca 44.28% (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.29% (+0.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.59% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 24.41% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 51.65% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 48.35% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 30.24% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 69.76% (-0.46)
Over 4.5 16.48% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 83.52% (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Queretaro 21.37%
Draw 42.96%
Pachuca 35.68%

Team To Score First

Queretaro 39.78% (+0.07)
No Goal 6.49% (-0.13)
Pachuca 53.73% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 53.76%
Equal 8 11.71%
Under 8 34.53%
Over 9 42.2%
Equal 9 11.55%
Under 9 46.24%
Over 10.5 31.72%
Under 10.5 68.28%

Queretaro Goals

Over 1.5 32.42% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 67.58% (-0.66)
Over 2.5 11.75% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 88.25% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 3.46% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 96.54% (-0.19)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5 75.74% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 24.26% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 43.9% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.1% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.01%
Under 2.5 80.99%
Over 3.5 6.75% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.25% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Queretaro 30.35%
Draw 25.37%
Pachuca 44.27%
Queretaro
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.07% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.7% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.16% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.36% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.69% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.34% (+0.18)
Total : 30.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 25.37%
Pachuca
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.95% (+0.04)
Other @ 6.63% (+0.01)
Total : 44.27%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Sep 21, 2025 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Jan 30, 2025 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Adonis Preciado 56' yellowcard
  • Adonis Preciado 56' yellowcard
  • Omar Mendoza 87' yellowcard
  • Omar Mendoza 87' yellowcard
  • Omar Mendoza 87' yellowcard
  • Omar Mendoza 87' yellowcard
  • goal Salomon Rondon 35'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 35'
  • yellowcard Bryan Gonzalez 47'
  • yellowcard Bryan Gonzalez 47'
  • yellowcard Elias Montiel 69'
  • yellowcard Elias Montiel 69'
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Sep 1, 2024 12.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo 67' yellowcard
  • Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo 67' yellowcard
  • Sergio Adrian Hernandez Hernandez 74' yellowcard
  • Sergio Adrian Hernandez Hernandez 74' yellowcard
  • Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo 90'+7' goal
  • Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Rio 24'
  • yellowcard Martin Rio 24'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Preciado 34'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Preciado 34'
  • goal Ayrton Preciado 40'
  • goal Ayrton Preciado 40'
  • redcard Ayrton Preciado 46'
  • redcard Ayrton Preciado 46'
  • yellowcard Samuel Sosa 73'
  • yellowcard Samuel Sosa 73'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Allison 84'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Allison 84'
  • yellowcard Alan Medina 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alan Medina 90'+1'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Mar 10, 2024 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Hidalgo
  • Guillermo Almada 38' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Almada 38' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 79' goal
  • Salomon Rondon 79' goal
  • goal Federico Lertora 7'
  • goal Federico Lertora 7'
  • yellowcard Samuel Sosa 37'
  • yellowcard Samuel Sosa 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin Escamilla 49'
  • yellowcard Kevin Escamilla 49'
  • yellowcard Federico Lertora 55'
  • yellowcard Federico Lertora 55'
  • goal Facundo Batista 63'
  • goal Facundo Batista 63'
  • yellowcard Camilo Sanvezzo 73'
  • yellowcard Francisco Venegas 73'
  • yellowcard Facundo Batista 84'
  • yellowcard Facundo Batista 84'
  • yellowcard Fernando Tapia 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Fernando Tapia 90'+4'
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2023 2.06am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Angel Sepulveda 40' goal
  • Angel Sepulveda 40' goal
  • Jaime Gomez 59' yellowcard
  • Jaime Gomez 59' yellowcard
  • Oscar Manzanarez 61' yellowcard
  • Oscar Manzanarez 61' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Montecinos 84' yellowcard
  • goal Roberto de la Rosa 51'
  • goal Roberto de la Rosa 51'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Almada 60'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Almada 60'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cabral 82'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cabral 82'
  • yellowcard Sergio Barreto 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sergio Barreto 90'+3'
Liga MX Gameweek 17
May 1, 2023 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • goal Cristian Arango 26'