Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 1-2 (6.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.