Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.