Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 49.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.34% and a win for Tigres had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.19%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a Tigres win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.