Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Cruz Azul has a probability of 29.73% and a draw has a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win is 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.98%).