Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.79% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.27%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%) , while for a Atlas win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.