Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.