Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-2 (6.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.