Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atlas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.