Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-2 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.