Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (9.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.