Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.27% and a win for Monterrey had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%) , while for a Monterrey win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.