Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.18% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%) , while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.