Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 65.01%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Xelajú had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%) , while for a Xelajú win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.