Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Xelajú had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Xelajú win was 2-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.