Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 1-2 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.