Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 1-2 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.