Mar 8, 2026 11.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT TQL Stadium

Samuel Gidi 63'
Ayoub Jabbari 63'
Evander 74'
Teenage Hadebe 86'
Kyle Smith 87'
Teenage Hadebe 87'
Kyle Smith 88'
Kenji Mboma Dem 90'

Derrick Etienne Jr. 65'
Deandre Kerr 73'
Lazar Stefanović 73'
Dániel Sallói 85'
Alonso Coello 90'+1'

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

L
W
D
W
W
L

Major League Soccer

L
W
L
W
D
L

Last game

Feb 28, 2026 9.30pm

Minnesota Utd 1 - 0 Cincinnati

Goals scored

7

Top scorer

Kévin Denkey

Toronto

All competitions

L
L
W
L
D
W

Major League Soccer

L
L
W
L
D
D

Last game

Mar 1, 2026 2.30am

Vancouver 3 - 0 Toronto

Goals scored

6

Top scorer

Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 63.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%) , while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

FC Cincinnati 63.33%

Draw 22.3%

Toronto 14.34%

Both Teams to Score:

44.51%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.92% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 27.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 49.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 50.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 29.01%

Under 3.5 70.96% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 4.5 18.46% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 81.54% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 47.31%

Draw 36.5%

Toronto 16.19%

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 65.73% ▲ (+0.02)

No Goal 8.05% ▼ (-0.01)

Toronto 26.22%

Corners

Over 8 53.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Equal 8 11.99%

Under 8 34.88% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 9 41.34%

Equal 9 11.78%

Under 9 46.87% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 10.5 30.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 10.5 69.28% ▲ (+0.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 55.29%

Under 1.5 44.71%

Over 2.5 29.22% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 70.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 12.82%

Under 3.5 87.18%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 46.01%

Under 0.5 53.99%

Over 1.5 16.57%

Under 1.5 83.43%

Over 2.5 4.84% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 95.16% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 1.26%

Under 3.5 98.74%

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 63.34%

Draw 22.29%

Toronto 14.33%

FC Cincinnati

1-0 @ 13.92%

2-0 @ 11.98% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 5.67%

3-2 @ 2.59%

Other @ 12.66%

Total : 63.34%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.52%

0-0 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 3.76%

Other @ 0.16%

Total : 22.29%

Toronto

0-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 1.83%

2-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 1.11%

Other @ 1.1%

Total : 14.33%

Head to Head

May 15, 2025 12.30am

0

1

HT : 0 2

FT BMO Field

Federico Bernardeschi 19'
Federico Bernardeschi 19'

Kevin Denkey 18'
Kevin Denkey 18'
Gilberto Flores 24'
Gilberto Flores 24'
Evander 32'
Evander 32'
Lukas Engel 90'
Lukas Engel 90'

Mar 9, 2025 12.30am

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Evander 66'
Evander 66'
Kevin Denkey 73'
Kevin Denkey 73'
Yuya Kubo 87'
Yuya Kubo 87'
Alvas Powell 89'
Alvas Powell 89'

Kosi Thompson 50'
Kosi Thompson 50'

May 26, 2024 12.30am

3

4

HT : 2 0

FT BMO Field

Deybi Flores 25'
Deybi Flores 25'
Deybi Flores 33'
Deybi Flores 33'
Matty Longstaff 60'
Matty Longstaff 60'
Ian Murphy 63'
Ian Murphy 63'
Kevin Long 78'
Kevin Long 78'
Miles Robinson 83'
Lorenzo Insigne 85'
Lorenzo Insigne 85'
Lorenzo Insigne 90'+8'

Luca Orellano 53'
Luca Orellano 53'
Kevin Kelsy 55'
Kevin Kelsy 55'
Luca Orellano 60'
Luca Orellano 60'
Luca Orellano 79'
Luca Orellano 79'
Miles Robinson 83'
Sergio Santos 90'+3'
Sergio Santos 90'+3'
Lorenzo Insigne 90'+8'
Kevin Kelsy 90'+10'
Kevin Kelsy 90'+10'

Feb 25, 2024 7.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Nippert Stadium

Yuya Kubo 63'

Jonathan Osorio 2'
Raoul Petretta 34'
Shane O'Neill 54'
Sean Johnson 82'

Oct 1, 2023 12.30am

2

3

HT : 4 4

FT BMO Field

Jonathan Osorio 39'
Jonathan Osorio 39'
Jonathan Osorio 44'
Jonathan Osorio 44'
Themi Antonoglou 74'
Themi Antonoglou 74'
Prince Osei Owusu 84'
Prince Osei Owusu 86'

Brandon Vazquez 28'
Brandon Vazquez 28'
Brandon Vazquez 35'
Brandon Vazquez 35'
Aaron Boupendza 72'
Aaron Boupendza 72'

Jun 22, 2023 12.30am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Nippert Stadium

Santiago Arias 35'
Santiago Arias 35'
Luciano Acosta 54'
Luciano Acosta 54'
Dominique Badji 63'
Dominique Badji 63'

Form Data

Minnesota Utd 1 - 0 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 9 - 0 Universidad O&M

Cincinnati 0 - 0 Louisville City

Cincinnati 2 - 0 Atlanta

Universidad O&M 0 - 4 Cincinnati

Orlando City 3 - 2 Cincinnati

Vancouver 3 - 0 Toronto

Dallas 3 - 2 Toronto

Toronto 2 - 1 Polissya

Fredrikstad 1 - 0 Toronto

Toronto 2 - 2 AIK

Toronto 2 - 0 Jeonbuk