Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (8.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.