Major League Soccer
Feb 22, 2026 1.30am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Petar Musa 9' goal
  • Logan Farrington 38' goal
  • Louicius Deedson 72' yellowcard
  • Patrickson Delgado 72' yellowcard
  • Petar Musa 74' goal
  • Anderson Julio 82' yellowcard
  • Ran Binyamin 90' yellowcard
  • Ran Binyamin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 15'
  • yellowcard Raheem Edwards 54'
  • yellowcard Dániel Sallói 54'
  • goal Derrick Etienne Jr. 67'
  • yellowcard Emilio Aristizábal 77'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 78'

Dallas vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 7, 2025 5.00pm
Vancouver 0 - 0 Dallas
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Petar Musa

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
Toronto 4 - 2 Orlando City
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (8.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Dallas 42.32% (-0.04)
Draw 27.58% (-0.04)
Toronto 30.1% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.59% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.68% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 29.32% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 46.51% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 53.45% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 26.29% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.71% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.68% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.32% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Dallas 33.09%
Draw 43.31%
Toronto 23.6%

Team To Score First

Dallas 50.22% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.05% (-0.03)
Toronto 40.73% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.08%
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 33.32%
Over 9 43.5%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 44.92%
Over 10.5 32.88%
Under 10.5 67.12%

Dallas Goals

Over 1.5 39.31%
Under 1.5 60.69%
Over 2.5 16.37% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.63% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.8% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.2% (+0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 63.32% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 36.68% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 30.1% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 69.9% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.26% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 88.74% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.5%
Under 3.5 96.5%

Score analysis

Dallas 42.32%
Draw 27.57%
Toronto 30.12%
Dallas
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.43% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.57% (-0.01)
Total : 42.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 9.05% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 27.57%
Toronto
0-1 @ 8.83%
1-2 @ 6.65% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.87% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 30.12%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT BMO Field
  • Federico Bernardeschi 39' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 45'+3' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 45'+3' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 52' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 52' goal
  • Nickseon Gomis 72' yellowcard
  • Nickseon Gomis 72' yellowcard
  • Matty Longstaff 82' goal
  • Matty Longstaff 82' goal
  • Sigurd Rosted 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Rosted 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Petar Musa 9'
  • yellowcard Petar Musa 9'
  • yellowcard Ema Twumasi 67'
  • yellowcard Ema Twumasi 67'
  • goal Samuel Junqua 87'
  • goal Samuel Junqua 87'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 1
Feb 26, 2022 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jader Obrian 9' goal
  • Jader Obrian 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Shaffelburg 20'
  • goal Jonathan Osorio 45'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 20
Jun 23, 2019 1.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
  • Dominique Badji 41' goal
  • Bressan 51' goal
  • Dominique Badji 58' goal
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
May 26, 2018 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
  • Ryan Telfer 17' yellowcard
  • Auro 61' yellowcard
  • goal Maximiliano Urruti 11'
  • yellowcard Maynor Figueroa 15'
  • yellowcard Michael Barrios 64'
  • yellowcard Matt Hedges 67'
  • yellowcard Jesse Gonzalez 80'
  • yellowcard Mauro Diaz 96'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 97'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Urruti 98'
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2017 12.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Roland Lamah 5' goal
  • Roland Lamah 14' yellowcard
  • Roland Lamah 21' goal
  • Atiba Harris 39' yellowcard
  • Hernan Grana 54' yellowcard
  • Maynor Figueroa 60' yellowcard
  • Carlos Gruezo 76' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Urruti 78' goal
  • Tesho Akindele 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eriq Zavaleta 49'
  • goal Marco Delgado 56'
Major League Soccer
May 8, 2016 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marco Delgado 14' yellowcard
  • Tsubasa Endoh 28' goal
  • Michael Bradley 43' yellowcard
  • Steven Beitashour 74' yellowcard
  • Will Johnson 87' yellowcard
  • Jozy Altidore 96' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Victor Ulloa 39'