Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.