Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (9.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.