Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.58% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%) , while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.