Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.