Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.79% and a win for Orange County had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%) , while for a Orange County win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.