Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.68% and a win for Orange County had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Orange County win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.