Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.49% and a win for Orange County had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%) , while for a Orange County win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.