Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.