Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.