Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Indy Eleven had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.66%) and 1-3 (5.21%). The likeliest Indy Eleven win was 2-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.