Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 3-1 (6.47%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.