Club Friendlies 3
Jan 28, 2026 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Energizer Park

St Louis City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
NY Red Bulls 3 - 1 St Louis City

Tampa Bay Rowdies

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 9.00pm
NY City 0 - 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Tampa Bay Rowdies had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Tampa Bay Rowdies win was 1-2 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

St Louis City 48.22% (+0.11)
Draw 23.94% (-0.05)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 27.85% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.04% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.09% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 19.91% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 58.73% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 41.27% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 35.81% (-1.55)
Under 3.5 64.14% (+1.50)
Over 4.5 21.71% (-1.04)
Under 4.5 78.29% (+1.05)

First Half Winner

St Louis City 37.66% (+0.16)
Draw 40.78% (-0.02)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 21.57% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

St Louis City 54.21% (-0.16)
No Goal 5.65% (+0.16)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 40.14% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.88% (+0.29)
Equal 8 10.53% (-0.03)
Under 8 26.59% (-0.27)
Over 9 51.72% (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 37.12% (-0.29)
Over 10.5 40.83% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 59.17% (-0.25)

St Louis City Goals

Over 1.5 50.2% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 49.8% (+0.48)
Over 2.5 24.86% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 75.14% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 10.04% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 89.96% (+0.32)

Tampa Bay Rowdies Goals

Over 0.5 64.71% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 35.29% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 33% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 67% (+0.60)
Over 2.5 12.68% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 87.32% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 4.14% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 95.86% (+0.32)

Score analysis

St Louis City 48.21%
Draw 23.95%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 27.83%
St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.29)
1-0 @ 8.17% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.02% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 4.48% (+0.29)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.20)
Other @ 9.96% (-0.22)
Total : 48.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.65% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.10)
Total : 23.95%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1-2 @ 6.93% (+0.26)
0-1 @ 6.08% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.68% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.22)
0-3 @ 1.8% (+0.26)
Other @ 4.06% (-0.21)
Total : 27.83%