Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for Tampa Bay Rowdies has a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.29%) , while for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win it is 1-2 (5.29%).