Club Friendlies 3
Jan 24, 2026 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium

New York City FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Tampa Bay Rowdies

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.16% and a win for Tampa Bay Rowdies had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%) , while for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

New York City FC 57.93% (-0.07)
Draw 23.16% (+0.11)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 18.91% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.57% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.29% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.71% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 58.74% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 41.22% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 35.74% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 64.26% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 21.99% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 78.01% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 44.02% (-0.08)
Draw 38.36% (+0.07)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 17.62% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

New York City FC 63.14%
No Goal 5.29% (+0.01)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 31.57% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 67.34% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.31%
Under 8 22.34% (-0.02)
Over 9 55.99% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.35%
Under 9 32.66% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 44.57%
Under 10.5 55.43%

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 57.62% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 42.38% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 31.14% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 68.86% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 13.44%
Under 3.5 86.56%

Tampa Bay Rowdies Goals

Over 0.5 57.36% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 42.64% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.78% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 75.22% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.83% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.17% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.98% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.02% (+0.01)

Score analysis

New York City FC 57.93%
Draw 23.16%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 18.89%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 10.45%
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81%
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.96%
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 13.22% (-0.01)
Total : 57.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.58% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 23.16%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.06% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.76% (-0.03)
Total : 18.89%