Club Friendlies 3
Jan 24, 2026 12.00am
Yankee Stadium

New York City FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Tampa Bay Rowdies

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for Tampa Bay Rowdies has a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.29%) , while for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win it is 1-2 (5.29%).

Result

New York City FC 58.39%
Draw 22.6%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 19.01%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.28%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.23%
Under 1.5 19.77%
Over 2.5 58.56%
Under 2.5 41.44%
Over 3.5 36.22%
Under 3.5 63.78%
Over 4.5 22.53%
Under 4.5 77.47%

First Half Winner

New York City FC 43.97%
Draw 39.12%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 16.91%

Team To Score First

New York City FC 61.34%
No Goal 5.34%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 33.32%

Corners

Over 8 70.11%
Equal 8 10.14%
Under 8 19.76%
Over 9 58.62%
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 29.89%
Over 10.5 46.79%
Under 10.5 53.21%

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 57.79%
Under 1.5 42.21%
Over 2.5 31.45%
Under 2.5 68.55%
Over 3.5 14.09%
Under 3.5 85.91%

Tampa Bay Rowdies Goals

Over 0.5 56.76%
Under 0.5 43.24%
Over 1.5 24.29%
Under 1.5 75.71%
Over 2.5 7.68%
Under 2.5 92.32%
Over 3.5 1.96%
Under 3.5 98.04%

Score analysis

New York City FC 58.39%
Draw 22.58%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 18.99%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 10.38%
1-0 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 8.93%
3-1 @ 6.65%
3-0 @ 5.76%
3-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 13.93%
Total : 58.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29%
0-0 @ 5.34%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.58%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1-2 @ 5.29%
0-1 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.69%
1-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.99%