Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.75% and a win for Cartaginés had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.45%) and 2-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%) , while for a Cartaginés win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.