Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.