Club Friendlies 3
Feb 7, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Subaru Park

Philadelphia Union vs Tampa Bay Rowdies - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 29, 2026 1.00pm
Philadelphia 3 - 0 Buducnost

Tampa Bay Rowdies

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 4.00pm
St Louis City 2 - 2 Tampa Bay Rowdies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.35% and a win for Tampa Bay Rowdies had a probability of 15.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%) , while for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Philadelphia Union 63.47%
Draw 21.35% (-0.05)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 15.18% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.48% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.14% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.86% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.52% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 42.48% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 36.02% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 63.93% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 23.31% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 76.69% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 45.1% (+0.04)
Draw 38.66% (-0.02)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 16.24% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 67.59% (+0.07)
No Goal 5.86% (-0.03)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 26.55% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.7%
Equal 8 10.62%
Under 8 26.68%
Over 9 51.46%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 37.3%
Over 10.5 40.53% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 59.47% (-0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 60.09% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 39.91% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 34.15% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 65.85% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 15.63% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 84.37% (-0.01)

Tampa Bay Rowdies Goals

Over 0.5 51.18% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 48.82% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 20.42% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 79.58% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.83% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.17% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.42%
Under 3.5 98.58%

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 63.46%
Draw 21.35%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 15.18%
Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 15.57% (+0.01)
Total : 63.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 21.35%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.18%