Club Friendlies 3
Feb 7, 2026 11.00pm
Subaru Park

Philadelphia Union vs Tampa Bay Rowdies - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 29, 2026 1.00pm
Philadelphia 0 - 0 Buducnost

Tampa Bay Rowdies

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 12.00am
St Louis City 2 - 2 Tampa Bay Rowdies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw has a probability of 21.35% and a win for Tampa Bay Rowdies has a probability of 15.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.69%) , while for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win it is 0-1 (4.34%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 63.47%
Draw 21.35% (-0.05)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 15.18% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.48% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.14% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20.86% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.52% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 42.48% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 36.02% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 63.93% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 23.31% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 76.69% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 45.1% (+0.04)
Draw 38.66% (-0.02)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 16.24% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 67.59% (+0.07)
No Goal 5.86% (-0.03)
Tampa Bay Rowdies 26.55% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.7%
Equal 8 10.62%
Under 8 26.68%
Over 9 51.46%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 37.3%
Over 10.5 40.53% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 59.47% (-0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 60.09% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 39.91% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 34.15% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 65.85% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 15.63% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 84.37% (-0.01)

Tampa Bay Rowdies Goals

Over 0.5 51.18% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 48.82% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 20.42% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 79.58% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.83% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.17% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.42%
Under 3.5 98.58%

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 63.46%
Draw 21.35%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 15.18%
Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 15.57% (+0.01)
Total : 63.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 21.35%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.18%